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Event markets turn real-world questions into tradable probabilities. Will this candidate win? Will BTC close the year above $150,000? Who takes the championship? If the timeline is arguing about it, there’s probably a market on it.

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How event markets work

Every event market is a question with defined outcomes. Each outcome trades as a share priced between $0 and $1:
  • The price is the probability. YES at 35¢ means the market thinks there’s roughly a 35% chance it happens.
  • If your outcome resolves correct, each share pays out $1**. If it doesn't, it pays **$0.
  • You don’t have to wait for resolution — sell your shares anytime to lock in a gain or cut a loss.
Example. “Will the Fed cut rates in March?” YES trades at 42¢. You buy 1,000 YES shares for $420. If the Fed cuts, your shares pay out $1,000 — a $580 gain. If the market moves to 60¢ before the meeting, you can sell early for $600 and take the $180 without waiting.

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What you can trade

  • Politics — elections, policy decisions, appointments
  • Sports — championships, match outcomes, season milestones
  • Crypto — price milestones, protocol events, ETF decisions
  • Macro — rate decisions, CPI prints, economic events
  • Culture — awards, launches, and the internet’s argument of the week
New markets are curated and listed every week, each with written resolution rules before it goes live.

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Resolution

Every event market has a resolution rules panel on its market page: the exact question, the resolution source, and the deadline. When the source confirms the outcome, winning shares redeem at $1 and the market settles to your balance.
Read the resolution rules before you trade. The edge case you’re imagining is usually answered there — “what counts,” “which source decides,” and “what happens if the event is cancelled.”

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Event markets vs. perps

On event markets you can never lose more than you paid for the shares. That makes them the natural starting point for new traders — your risk is defined the moment you buy.